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• Comment Link Τρίτη, 21 Ιανουαρίου 2025 10:12 posted by pgjoker

  By Lewis Krauskopf
  
  NEW YORK, Oct 8 (Reuters) - Investors are looking for
  bargains among healthcare stocks, even as prospect of a Democratic "Blue Sweep" in next month´s elections threatens more volatility
  for a sector already trading near a historical discount to the broader market.
  
  
  A victory by former Vice President Joe Biden over President Donald Trump on Nov.
  3 and a potential Democratic takeover of the Senate could clear the way for prescription drug price and healthcare coverage reforms, generally seen as potential negatives for companies in the sector.
  
  
  
  Some investors are betting these factors have
  already been priced into healthcare shares or may not be
  as detrimental as feared, while the companies stand to benefit from relatively stable
  earnings prospects and their medical innovations.
  
  "For high-quality companies that are trading at reasonable valuations ... there is a strong argument to be made for adding some healthcare exposure to portfolios," said James Ragan, director of wealth management research at D.A.
  
  Davidson.
  
  Biden's improving election prospects have weighed on healthcare stocks for much of 2020, according to investors, with the S&P 500 healthcare sector climbing just 7% since the end
  of April, against a 17% gain for the overall S&P 500 .
  
  
  A Reuters/Ipsos poll on Sunday showed Biden opened
  his widest lead in a month after Trump contracted
  COVID-19.
  
  The healthcare sector now trades at a 26% discount
  to the S&P 500 on a price-to-earnings basis, according to Refinitiv Datastream.
  The sector's 15.8 P/E ratio is well below the S&P 500's 21.3 ratio, which last month rose to
  its highest valuation since 2000.
  
  The gap between the sector's P/E ratio and that of the S&P stood at its widest in at least 25 years last month, though it has narrowed in recent weeks.
  
  
  "As Biden started to do better in the polls, you saw healthcare start to underperform a bit as the rest of the market recovered," said Ashtyn Evans, a healthcare
  analyst with Edward Jones.
  
  While Biden may shake up insurance coverage by offering
  a "public option" government plan, he is also expected to seek to strengthen the Affordable
  Care Act - the signature healthcare law enacted when he was vice president
  - under which companies are used to operating.
  
  Any significant drug pricing legislation may need to wait until the pandemic is more contained, as the government relies on the pharmaceutical industry to develop COVID-19
  therapies and vaccines. Trump has also vowed to lower drug prices, making the issue arguably less partisan.
  
  "We think there remains a reasonably good probability that the next Congress will institute moderate health policy changes that will create long-term clarity for the sector and investors," Eric Potoker, an analyst at UBS Global
  Wealth Management, said in a note last month.
  
  Healthcare stocks have been prone to volatility around elections.
  
  
  Ahead of the 2016 vote, which pitted Trump against former Secretary of State Hillary
  Clinton, who had campaigned against high prescription drug prices, the
  healthcare sector fell 6.6% in October compared to a 1.9% drop for the overall S&P 500 .
  
  
  So far this October, the sector has climbed 1.2% against a 1.7%
  rise for the S&P 500. The promise of a fiscal stimulus package has
  lifted groups such as financials and industrials that tend to
  be more sensitive to broad economic recovery.
  
  Edward Jones' Evans sees opportunities in shares of drugmaker Merck & Co and medical device company
  Medtronic Inc. Merck shares have fallen 12% so far in 2020, while Medtronic shares have dropped
  about 7%.
  
  Melissa Chadwick-Dunn, portfolio manager at RS Investments,
  has long-term holdings in areas such as diabetes technology and biotech, where she sees strong
  potential for healthcare breakthroughs, and potentially would add if there is a pullback.
  
  
  
  "The best antidote to all this uncertainty is a healthy dose of innovation," she said.
  
  
  (Reporting by Lewis Krauskopf; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and Bill
  Berkrot)
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